At what stage are we in the Great Recession? Comparing the situation of Hungary and Germany

The figure illustrates the impact of the 2008 world financial crisis on the Hungarian and German economies compared to each other. The quarterly change in GDP since the start of the crisis is used as an indicator in comparison to the previous quarters.

The figure shows that the current crisis is much more indicative of a slow recovery in the Hungarian economy than the Hungarian economy’s primary export market, the German economy. On the one hand, the Hungarian crisis was deeper than the German one; on the other hand, the recovery started later here than in Germany. While the decline affected both economies at almost at the same pace and to the same degree, the German economy was able to bounce back faster and stronger than the Hungarian after the bottom had been reached. From the second half of 2010 the two economies increasingly diverge from one another in terms of the recovery to pre-crisis levels. Although the engine to Hungarian industrial growth continues to be industrial exports, especially exports to Germany, Hungarian companies have not been able to fully exploit the German recovery and the increase in demand, including the growth in import demand.

The figure was inspired by the web page of the prestigious economic research institute, The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) at